Depending on the table I limp or raise with pocket pairs and other (good) hands. Important is that I switched to 100 NL. I am playing 100 NL and a bit of 200 NL. I love to play pocket pairs and call some raises with them as well.
Hands I won:
100 NL 6 max. In the SB I get 77. UTG limps, fold, fold, fold, I call and the BB raises to $4. I call here because I am out of position and only up against 2 players. However, the BB did decide to raise, so he could either want to pick up weak bets or has a genuine hand. UTG calls and I call as well. Flop comes 7s3d2d, where I hit my trips. Make no donk bet here to reveal the strength of the hand, so I check. The BB has to bet out. He bets potsized ($12) and UTG folds. I decide to minraise here, to suck him in. Minraise does look weak, so if he had a hand he would reraise with any pocket pair higher than 7s and he would play AdXd for the flush. He does reraise me all-in. I call. Turn is rag, and river completes my quads. He shows AA.
On 100 NL 6 max, a very nice hand unfolded with TdKc in the SB. Two limpers and I decide to call. Flop comes JcQc3d. I check, villain 1 checks, villain 2 bets potsize, villain 3 folds and I decide to call given I have a OESD. BB folds as well. Turn is 9c completing my straight, but drawing to a flush. I check and he bets ¾ and I decide to call his bet. He was quite loose and betted into a draw a few times before. River comes Ac, completing my nut flush. I check again and he bets 1/3 pot. I place an overbet of $60 (in a $40 total pot) and after his timer runs out almost completely he decides to call. He shows TcKd, which is exactly my hand with the suits switched. How funny.
Hands I lost:
A hand I never ran into, but was bound to happen was the following. Luckily on 50 NL (on Pacific). I have K2o in BB. 2 limpers. Flop K83r. I check, check, bet ½ pot, which I call and the other players folds. Turn 8. Check, check. River K, completing my full house. Check and bet ½ pot. I think that it is a weak bet and reraise all-in, simply because the worst case scenario would be a split pot. However he calls and shows quad 8s. Greed is a terrible thing.
200 NL 6 max: A strange hand unfolded with a player I do not have a read on and whose play I just do not understand. I am in the BB and get 7c9c. Cutoff minraises 2xBB. Button calls and I call as well (Pot is $13). Flop comes 2cJc6d. I check and the initial raiser bets $2 in $13 pot. This is a bet I just do not understand. Why bet this amount? Button calls and I decide to make a play and raise to $14. He calls almost instantly, which is surprising, because the board is somewhat draw heavy with and inside straight draw and a flush draw. What can he have here? Turn is 5h. Now I have 13 outs (straight and flush draw). I bet ¾ pot and again, he calls. River is 6s, and I have nothing. I check and he checks as well. I did not bet here, because I simply could not put him on a hand. I felt like he would call me bluff anyway. He showed AJo for TPTK on the flop. Sometimes I wonder. Luckily I won my money back with a nicer hand shortly afterwards.
Quote of the Day
Do not go where the path may lead, go instead where there is no path and leave a trail.
Tuesday, January 30, 2007
Friday, January 26, 2007
Deep breath
As I have written previously I wanted to make a switch towards 100 NL. As I just did that, the first couple of days went fine, a big upswing. But what comes up, must come down. I lost the most amazing hands on 100 NL, some of which I mentioned in the previous post. Big suck outs with donks going all-in on the flop with A8o on a 49T board where I call with the pocket ladies and they amazingly hit their runner runner straight. Lots of examples. I decided to take a shot at 200 NL. All-in all not to bet. I think I showed a small profit there, but the donk factor is still present. After a final hand for 50 BB with AKs, where I hit a king on the flop with two spades, another player puts me all-in, I call and he shows a draw which he obviously hits. Almost 10% of my bankroll gone. I know, I played at a higher limit, than my bankroll allowed, but still.
Where do I stand now? I went down from 2,6K to 2K. Yesterday I decided to play a bit of 50NL to gain some confidence and I entered three tourneys ($33 and $11 and I had qualified through a $6 rebuy for a satellite for an EPT qualifier). After I finished the tournaments ($33: Out on the bubble I lost 44 against QQ, $11: Low in the money, Qlfr: Early exit with AQ against AK on a AAX board) and the cashtables going reasonable I also opened two 100 NL tables. The day ended with a small $70 profit, even though I entered the tournaments.
I am going to continue with two 50 NL and two 100 NL tables and am trying to switch to 6max, instead of 8max. I noticed that at 100 NL there are only about 6 tables with 8 max and at 200 NL there was only 1 8 max table filled. So I must make a switch to 6 max with enough tables filled to not meet the same players over and over again.
Besides that I made a withdrawal of $1000 from Titan. I don’t like it that I don't receive any bonuses, besides the loyalty cash bonus. This bonus will grow to a max of $175 per month, in 4 months, when I remain at the highest VIP rank. The rake I generate is at least 25 times that amount. Retaining the VIP rank should not be a problem. You need an average of 20.000 points a month, and I am close to hitting 50.000 this month alone.
So I am looking for a new site and have my eyes on three sites which I have not deposited yet: Ultimate Bet, Mansion Poker or Full Tilt. They offer a good deposit bonus. Mansion gives 100% up to $1000. But I am also looking for a rakeback deal, which I know Full Tilt offers. Obviously gameplay, tournament offers and number of players are also important factors. As soon as the money is in my Neteller account I will make a decision.
Short term goals: Goal is to grow from $1000 to $3000 at Titan, quite rapidly. I think by the end of February I should be close to that amount. I want to deposit and clear the corresponding bonus at one of the above mentioned sites. Looking to make about $3000 of that $1000 amount by the end of February. I want to receive a lot more bonus money than I do now, which will hopefully increase my bankroll swiftly.
Furthermore I am looking to qualify for EPT through satellites at Titan, through low buyin first or second stage tournaments. Tried it twice and twice qualified. Furthermore I will probably enter this weekends Dortmund EPT qualifier at Titan, where I can use my points to buy-in. On 17 February there is the freeroll at Pacific for the same tournament, for which I need to gather sufficient points. Because of my very small roll at that site, it takes some time to gather the required points, but it needs to be done by 6 February. There are also satellites to the Monaco EPT, the Warsaw EPT and WPT and WSOP. I will give them all a shot. Besides these I am playing qualifiers for big tournaments, such as the Sunday Million or other big guaranteed tournaments. Next update with stats at the end of the month.
Where do I stand now? I went down from 2,6K to 2K. Yesterday I decided to play a bit of 50NL to gain some confidence and I entered three tourneys ($33 and $11 and I had qualified through a $6 rebuy for a satellite for an EPT qualifier). After I finished the tournaments ($33: Out on the bubble I lost 44 against QQ, $11: Low in the money, Qlfr: Early exit with AQ against AK on a AAX board) and the cashtables going reasonable I also opened two 100 NL tables. The day ended with a small $70 profit, even though I entered the tournaments.
I am going to continue with two 50 NL and two 100 NL tables and am trying to switch to 6max, instead of 8max. I noticed that at 100 NL there are only about 6 tables with 8 max and at 200 NL there was only 1 8 max table filled. So I must make a switch to 6 max with enough tables filled to not meet the same players over and over again.
Besides that I made a withdrawal of $1000 from Titan. I don’t like it that I don't receive any bonuses, besides the loyalty cash bonus. This bonus will grow to a max of $175 per month, in 4 months, when I remain at the highest VIP rank. The rake I generate is at least 25 times that amount. Retaining the VIP rank should not be a problem. You need an average of 20.000 points a month, and I am close to hitting 50.000 this month alone.
So I am looking for a new site and have my eyes on three sites which I have not deposited yet: Ultimate Bet, Mansion Poker or Full Tilt. They offer a good deposit bonus. Mansion gives 100% up to $1000. But I am also looking for a rakeback deal, which I know Full Tilt offers. Obviously gameplay, tournament offers and number of players are also important factors. As soon as the money is in my Neteller account I will make a decision.
Short term goals: Goal is to grow from $1000 to $3000 at Titan, quite rapidly. I think by the end of February I should be close to that amount. I want to deposit and clear the corresponding bonus at one of the above mentioned sites. Looking to make about $3000 of that $1000 amount by the end of February. I want to receive a lot more bonus money than I do now, which will hopefully increase my bankroll swiftly.
Furthermore I am looking to qualify for EPT through satellites at Titan, through low buyin first or second stage tournaments. Tried it twice and twice qualified. Furthermore I will probably enter this weekends Dortmund EPT qualifier at Titan, where I can use my points to buy-in. On 17 February there is the freeroll at Pacific for the same tournament, for which I need to gather sufficient points. Because of my very small roll at that site, it takes some time to gather the required points, but it needs to be done by 6 February. There are also satellites to the Monaco EPT, the Warsaw EPT and WPT and WSOP. I will give them all a shot. Besides these I am playing qualifiers for big tournaments, such as the Sunday Million or other big guaranteed tournaments. Next update with stats at the end of the month.
Saturday, January 20, 2007
Bad beat time
The good run could not continue, but this is ridiculous what is happening. A few hand of todays session:
I get 22 in early position. I call, three limpers. Cut off min raises. 4 callers, including me. Flop comes T42 rainbow. I check. Three players check. CO raises 1,5 pot. I reraise all-in. He calls and shows AKo!!! Wtf, he has nothing!!! Turn 3, River 5, for the straight.
I get ThQh I flop a straight. All in on the flop. He makes a runner runner flush with nothing on the flop.
I get AA. Raise, reraise preflop. Called. On a low flop all-in. River makes his Q trips.
Fkn hell, I am pissed off.
I get 22 in early position. I call, three limpers. Cut off min raises. 4 callers, including me. Flop comes T42 rainbow. I check. Three players check. CO raises 1,5 pot. I reraise all-in. He calls and shows AKo!!! Wtf, he has nothing!!! Turn 3, River 5, for the straight.
I get ThQh I flop a straight. All in on the flop. He makes a runner runner flush with nothing on the flop.
I get AA. Raise, reraise preflop. Called. On a low flop all-in. River makes his Q trips.
Fkn hell, I am pissed off.
Thursday, January 18, 2007
Get me some ice!
…cause I am running pretty hot. Two days ago I passed the 2,6K mark after which I would be 4-tabeling at 100NL. Yesterday I did just so and was up for $50 after a two hour session. Running hot? Yes. For the eighth day in a row my bankroll grew. My goal was to have a 2,4K bankroll by the end of the month. So having already gone past 2,6K is quite good. At 100 NL I am running at 12 BB/100, which I am happy about.
Nice hand from the session yesterday. In the BB I get AA. So many ways to deal with AA, here is an approach I do not see and use to much, but like to share, which is especially good for table image and future hands. MP bets 4xBB, SB calls and I decide to smoothcall. This could be dangerous, but I think is quite strong if you pull it off. I did not have a good read of the SB, but the raiser I considered an ok TAG. The flop came JJKr. This is off course not a nice flop, or is it? Let's analyze; He could win because the raiser could have JJ or KK, which would beat me, or he could have QA, AK and perhaps QQ, which I would beat. I do not think he would play other hands from MP. The SB however has a wider ranger, all pocket pairs and ATs+. How did the hand develop? SB checks, I check and the preflop raiser bets ¾ pot. I checked, because I knew the preflop raiser would at least make a c-bet, which would give me information on where I stand compared to the SB, and it might have saved me money had he reraised. This was my biggest fear, because he could have had a single J, but likely had 44-99.Then it would have been an easy fold. The SB folds. I re-minraise. He goes all-in (he had about 2/3 of my stack) and I call. By going all-in I do not think he had JJ or KK, because he would have slowplayed those. He shows AK, flop and turn are no help to him and I win the pot. He gives me a nice compliment: "I did not see that coming. Nice hand.". So many different ways to play AA, and this is just one of them.
Why is this good for table image and future hands? People will not bet that heavy when you decide to call a raise in position and you might get away with a bluff or two, because you are prepared to slowplay the monster.
What I experience so far at 100 NL is that my raises are not respected too much as they are at 50 NL. With 4xBB raises I sometimes find 5 callers. It seems like I have to raise at least 5xBB to get others to think I could have a monster. People attach a lot of value to their top pair with any kicker. Fine by me. I also see players tilting more often, especially the shorted stacks of 40BB or less. Just going all-in with any hand from early position. Why?
Nice hand from the session yesterday. In the BB I get AA. So many ways to deal with AA, here is an approach I do not see and use to much, but like to share, which is especially good for table image and future hands. MP bets 4xBB, SB calls and I decide to smoothcall. This could be dangerous, but I think is quite strong if you pull it off. I did not have a good read of the SB, but the raiser I considered an ok TAG. The flop came JJKr. This is off course not a nice flop, or is it? Let's analyze; He could win because the raiser could have JJ or KK, which would beat me, or he could have QA, AK and perhaps QQ, which I would beat. I do not think he would play other hands from MP. The SB however has a wider ranger, all pocket pairs and ATs+. How did the hand develop? SB checks, I check and the preflop raiser bets ¾ pot. I checked, because I knew the preflop raiser would at least make a c-bet, which would give me information on where I stand compared to the SB, and it might have saved me money had he reraised. This was my biggest fear, because he could have had a single J, but likely had 44-99.Then it would have been an easy fold. The SB folds. I re-minraise. He goes all-in (he had about 2/3 of my stack) and I call. By going all-in I do not think he had JJ or KK, because he would have slowplayed those. He shows AK, flop and turn are no help to him and I win the pot. He gives me a nice compliment: "I did not see that coming. Nice hand.". So many different ways to play AA, and this is just one of them.
Why is this good for table image and future hands? People will not bet that heavy when you decide to call a raise in position and you might get away with a bluff or two, because you are prepared to slowplay the monster.
What I experience so far at 100 NL is that my raises are not respected too much as they are at 50 NL. With 4xBB raises I sometimes find 5 callers. It seems like I have to raise at least 5xBB to get others to think I could have a monster. People attach a lot of value to their top pair with any kicker. Fine by me. I also see players tilting more often, especially the shorted stacks of 40BB or less. Just going all-in with any hand from early position. Why?
Monday, January 15, 2007
Just cruising
As mentioned before I am slowly switching towards 100 NL. While I find 50 NL now quite easy and am making some nice money here, 100 NL is slightly different. Players are a bit tougher here. I haven't lost a buyin yet, but somehow not making to much money either. I might be expecting too much but think I am still running at about 8 BB/100 (mainly because of some big hands I won), while at 50 NL it has been better.
I am getting a lot of respect from the regulars. The funniest is when making one or two small bluffs when just having joined a table, the not so regulars think I am a fish. When I continue playing a tight game, I win some big hands against them, just because they think I am bluffing. One table I was running really hot and busted someone in three or four hands, with slowplaying flopped quad deuces, a flopped straight and a flopped full house Aces over Kings. He was going mad!
My bankroll is well higher than the weekly goals I set at the start of the month. I will stick to the goals I set, but will probably have to change the targets for the next month. It is quite surprising I am seeing those results, because I have not been able to play as much as I wanted to.
My game is changing a bit, because I am playing the player more and more, instead of playing my cards. Obviously it usually is a combination of the two and depending on position. For example, when I think someone is bluffing and I am in the cut off seat and hold 88. Preflop one raiser to 3xBB in MP and 3 callers (including me); Flop comes 46Tr. Everybody checks and the raiser makes a c-bet of ¾ pot. I will usually reraise, after which he has to laydown. It all depends on position and the other player(s). Other situation with me in MP. I limped with QKs. One raiser in LP with three callers. Flop comes 83A. If small blind and big blind limp I will try to steal the pot, if the raiser has a loose image. My cards here are irrelevant.
The respect I receive also depends on betting sizes. If I raise 3, 4 or 5xBB, which depends on the table, position, and my cards, I could have any hand varying from 22 – QJs – AA, and even other hands, when bluffing or stealing the blinds. Consequently when a flop consists of rags I can still make and win a c-bet in position, because I could have any hand. For example when a flop comes 259r and I have AKo, a ¾ pot bet in a hand that has not been betted, is usually respected and when raised it is an easy lay down. Sometimes I do not make a c-bet, when I think someone has a hand or diverts from his or her usual game strategy. I think anyone should mix up his or her game to avoid being to predictable.
A nice hand with high impied odds came up with the following. I was in BB with 24o. Flop came AhKc5h. 4 Players limped preflop. After the flop it was checked to the button who bet 2/3 pot. He had a full buyin stack of 100 BB, which was slightly smaller than mine. I had to hit a 3 to win the pot. I assumed others would flatcall that bet as well. So I decided to call, as did one other player. Amazingly 3s hit the turn completing my nuts straight. I checked, other player checked and third player bet $2 (in a $7 pot), almost telling me he was on a straight or flush draw. Or that he had a pair of kings. So I reraised pot sized. The third, shortstacked player went all-in, and the raiser folded. I won the hand, but could have raked a nicer pot if the bigger stack had 2 pair, or AQ or trips.
With respect to raises or bets some say you should always raise the same standard amount. I think that is nonsense. If you vary the preflop raises, without being predictable, you can make more money. Also I play more aggressive pre-flop and have to play more aggressive post flop. Lots of aspects of my game need improvement, but it seems like I can beat 50 NL… I haven't lost a buyin in quite a few days. I like!
For the rest of the month I really want to improve my tournament game. It has to improve and I have to finish well in the money a couple of times. There are also some big freerolls for seats at EPTs I am going to play and have qualified for. That will be thrilling as well. I will keep you posted.
I am getting a lot of respect from the regulars. The funniest is when making one or two small bluffs when just having joined a table, the not so regulars think I am a fish. When I continue playing a tight game, I win some big hands against them, just because they think I am bluffing. One table I was running really hot and busted someone in three or four hands, with slowplaying flopped quad deuces, a flopped straight and a flopped full house Aces over Kings. He was going mad!
My bankroll is well higher than the weekly goals I set at the start of the month. I will stick to the goals I set, but will probably have to change the targets for the next month. It is quite surprising I am seeing those results, because I have not been able to play as much as I wanted to.
My game is changing a bit, because I am playing the player more and more, instead of playing my cards. Obviously it usually is a combination of the two and depending on position. For example, when I think someone is bluffing and I am in the cut off seat and hold 88. Preflop one raiser to 3xBB in MP and 3 callers (including me); Flop comes 46Tr. Everybody checks and the raiser makes a c-bet of ¾ pot. I will usually reraise, after which he has to laydown. It all depends on position and the other player(s). Other situation with me in MP. I limped with QKs. One raiser in LP with three callers. Flop comes 83A. If small blind and big blind limp I will try to steal the pot, if the raiser has a loose image. My cards here are irrelevant.
The respect I receive also depends on betting sizes. If I raise 3, 4 or 5xBB, which depends on the table, position, and my cards, I could have any hand varying from 22 – QJs – AA, and even other hands, when bluffing or stealing the blinds. Consequently when a flop consists of rags I can still make and win a c-bet in position, because I could have any hand. For example when a flop comes 259r and I have AKo, a ¾ pot bet in a hand that has not been betted, is usually respected and when raised it is an easy lay down. Sometimes I do not make a c-bet, when I think someone has a hand or diverts from his or her usual game strategy. I think anyone should mix up his or her game to avoid being to predictable.
A nice hand with high impied odds came up with the following. I was in BB with 24o. Flop came AhKc5h. 4 Players limped preflop. After the flop it was checked to the button who bet 2/3 pot. He had a full buyin stack of 100 BB, which was slightly smaller than mine. I had to hit a 3 to win the pot. I assumed others would flatcall that bet as well. So I decided to call, as did one other player. Amazingly 3s hit the turn completing my nuts straight. I checked, other player checked and third player bet $2 (in a $7 pot), almost telling me he was on a straight or flush draw. Or that he had a pair of kings. So I reraised pot sized. The third, shortstacked player went all-in, and the raiser folded. I won the hand, but could have raked a nicer pot if the bigger stack had 2 pair, or AQ or trips.
With respect to raises or bets some say you should always raise the same standard amount. I think that is nonsense. If you vary the preflop raises, without being predictable, you can make more money. Also I play more aggressive pre-flop and have to play more aggressive post flop. Lots of aspects of my game need improvement, but it seems like I can beat 50 NL… I haven't lost a buyin in quite a few days. I like!
For the rest of the month I really want to improve my tournament game. It has to improve and I have to finish well in the money a couple of times. There are also some big freerolls for seats at EPTs I am going to play and have qualified for. That will be thrilling as well. I will keep you posted.
Tuesday, January 9, 2007
Slowly switching towards 100 NL
The main goal for the month of January is to attain a steady, but conservative bankroll growth of $200 a week. So far so good. Goal for yesterday was to have a bankroll of $1,800 and I successfully reached and surpassed that goal. Early in the week I had a good day, and Sunday was a good day as well. The rest was a bit of up and down, but remaining constant.
On Sunday I attempted to qualify for the $100,000 tournament on Titan, but was basically card dead for 50 minutes, when my only real hand (except for the pocket kings in the 2nd hand) got cracked. Despite the $40+$4 qualifier I managed to increase my bankroll with $150,- or 3 buyins on 50 NL.
As the title of this post suggests I am switching towards 100 NL. I have tried some 6 max play at 100 NL, but will probably continue on 8 max tables. I still find that I get enough action at this level, while not being forced to play mediocre hands. However, in time I will also give it a shot at 6 max. I am typically 4 tabeling when playing cashgames; when simultaneously playing tournament(s) it can be five to seven tables. Unfortunately there is some overlap when playing more than 4 tables. I might have to buy a second screen when my bankroll reaches $10K , because then 8-tabelling is also an option.
100 NL. I am slowly switching towards 100 NL. The rule of thumb is that you need 20 buyins to play at a certain level in cashgames. I am almost at 2K, and when having a good day I opened a table at 100 NL. Sunday was an okay day, but still I attempted 100 NL. On an 8 max table I played about 150 hands. While being down to $75 quite fast, I slowplayed my aces from UTG. I re-raised pre-flop. Overbet, all-in and my call on a 10-high flop and someone showed KK, without help and I was up to $135. After that I slowly increased my stack to about $210, which was pleasing. The plan is to continue with one 100NL table and three 50NL tables. When reaching a bankroll of about $2,600, which will hopefully be by the end of the month, I want to be 4-tabelling at 100 NL. So far the level of play I experienced at these tables is more straightforward than 50 NL, where I see too many donk suck-outs. But what’s to say about the play at 100NL level, after not even 1,000 hands.
Poker pro for a year
Pokernews and Pacific Poker are cooperating in a great promotion, namely giving away a poker pro for a year package. With freerolls for eight live events it could be the way to achieving one of this year’s goals. The overall winner of the end of the year sit and go will receive a package containing accommodation and buy-in to four major live events. Read more at www.pokerproforayear.com. Good thing I already signed up at Pacific Poker through Pokernews. I deposited $50 there a while ago. Now it is about $170. To qualify for the freeroll I have to obtain a number of points while playing cash games. I should be able to qualify for all eight freerolls, so let’s see what comes out of it. It is something I am quite excited about. To qualify for the end of year sit and go, there is a leaderboard, and there are eight series with at the end of each series, the eight players with the most points, compete for a place in the big sit and go of which the number one wins the big prize, the number two wins one buyin and the number three wins $1,000. Wish me luck.
On Sunday I attempted to qualify for the $100,000 tournament on Titan, but was basically card dead for 50 minutes, when my only real hand (except for the pocket kings in the 2nd hand) got cracked. Despite the $40+$4 qualifier I managed to increase my bankroll with $150,- or 3 buyins on 50 NL.
As the title of this post suggests I am switching towards 100 NL. I have tried some 6 max play at 100 NL, but will probably continue on 8 max tables. I still find that I get enough action at this level, while not being forced to play mediocre hands. However, in time I will also give it a shot at 6 max. I am typically 4 tabeling when playing cashgames; when simultaneously playing tournament(s) it can be five to seven tables. Unfortunately there is some overlap when playing more than 4 tables. I might have to buy a second screen when my bankroll reaches $10K , because then 8-tabelling is also an option.
100 NL. I am slowly switching towards 100 NL. The rule of thumb is that you need 20 buyins to play at a certain level in cashgames. I am almost at 2K, and when having a good day I opened a table at 100 NL. Sunday was an okay day, but still I attempted 100 NL. On an 8 max table I played about 150 hands. While being down to $75 quite fast, I slowplayed my aces from UTG. I re-raised pre-flop. Overbet, all-in and my call on a 10-high flop and someone showed KK, without help and I was up to $135. After that I slowly increased my stack to about $210, which was pleasing. The plan is to continue with one 100NL table and three 50NL tables. When reaching a bankroll of about $2,600, which will hopefully be by the end of the month, I want to be 4-tabelling at 100 NL. So far the level of play I experienced at these tables is more straightforward than 50 NL, where I see too many donk suck-outs. But what’s to say about the play at 100NL level, after not even 1,000 hands.
Poker pro for a year
Pokernews and Pacific Poker are cooperating in a great promotion, namely giving away a poker pro for a year package. With freerolls for eight live events it could be the way to achieving one of this year’s goals. The overall winner of the end of the year sit and go will receive a package containing accommodation and buy-in to four major live events. Read more at www.pokerproforayear.com. Good thing I already signed up at Pacific Poker through Pokernews. I deposited $50 there a while ago. Now it is about $170. To qualify for the freeroll I have to obtain a number of points while playing cash games. I should be able to qualify for all eight freerolls, so let’s see what comes out of it. It is something I am quite excited about. To qualify for the end of year sit and go, there is a leaderboard, and there are eight series with at the end of each series, the eight players with the most points, compete for a place in the big sit and go of which the number one wins the big prize, the number two wins one buyin and the number three wins $1,000. Wish me luck.
Thursday, January 4, 2007
Odds
A little piece I experienced and read about odds. Most know about pot odds in relation to the probability to improve a hand. For example in a $1/$2 game you are in the BB with AhKs. UTG bet 4 x Big Blind and the SB and yourself call. There is thus a $24 pot. Flop comes Th4hJh. The SB bets only $12. Leaving out the rake, you could call for $12 in a $36 pot or 1:3. You have 9 outs to improve to the nut flush, so the chance you hit on the turn is 19,6%, however with two cards to come you have a 35% chance of hitting the nut flush. Your overall chances to improve your hand from ace high are higher. You could hit overcards (5 more outs) or the straight (another 3 outs), which totals to 17 outs, which gives you 36% chance (17:47) of improving, but not necessarily winning, your hand on the turn.
Below you find a table with probabilities for improving hands.

So much for the "straightforward" odds. Obviously a poker player does not look at merely the odds as explained. The player doing that would play very predictable and would for example never be bluffing. An observant other player at the table would pick up on that and adjust his or her game accordingly.
Reasons for not sticking to the odds table above could be, amongst others, the following:
1. You suspect the other playing to be bluffing.
2. Yourself are making one of your sparse bluffs, and hope to get away with it.
3. You are making cheap bluff now, to make profit in future hands.
4. Implied odds.
5. You feel lucky or you "have to" make a move.
I want to continue with implied odds. What sometimes happen to me, when I make a "lucky" hand, is that other players online start calling me fish or start calculating the odds for me and show what a stupid move it was. However, they usually do not consider the implied odds.
Implied odds have to do with the following points:
1. Odds to improve your hand
2. The stacksize of your opponent(s)
3. How hidden your hand is and thus the expectancy of winning big pots.
An example. $1 / $2 cashgame and you are in the BB with 25s. Three limpers. Flop comes T49 rainbow. The pot now is $8. Everybody checks. Turn is an A, with a rainbow board. SB and yourself check. A third player bet ¾ pot: $6 and one player calls and the other player folds. Considering table image, position, community cards and betsize a bluff is unlikely. So you would have no help hitting a 2 or a 5. Only way out is to hit your straight, leaving you with 4 outs (by hitting a three) and one card to come. You have to call a $6 bet on a $20 pot (1:3,33). Your odds for improving to the straight on the turn are 4:46, so roughly 1:11½ for the card to hit. Obviously you should not call. Or should you?
Assume you loose the hand: You loose $8, 10½ out of 11½ times. So if you call each time this situation occurs you will loose 1 win has to make up for 10,5*8= $84.
Assume that the other player's stacks are roughly 20 blinds and you have them covererd. If you hit your straight, which happens 1 in 11½ times, you think that it's a 60 percent chance one of them calls your all-in, and 20 percent both call your all-in. Obviously you should not call. Your expectation is too low. The one time you will win the hand, you will win ($40-$8)*60% + 20%*($80-2*$8). + $20 = $52,-. So your expected win is much less than your expected loss.
Now consider them having much bigger stacks. Say 100 blinds and you have them covered. However, because they have big stacks they are less willing to call your all-in. You still have to cover $84. You think there is a 40% chance one of them will call your all-in and only 5% both will call your all-in. This makes for ($200-$8)*40% + 5%*($400-2*$8). + $20 = $117,60.
It has to do with the 3 points mentioned above. Very important is how well hidden your hand is. Usually this involves a straight with one or two gap hole cards. When you are on a flush draw, people are usually much less inclined to call an all-in, because it is so obvious. Also look at the stacksize of your opponent, the bigger the stack, the higher the implied odds.
Below you find a table with probabilities for improving hands.
So much for the "straightforward" odds. Obviously a poker player does not look at merely the odds as explained. The player doing that would play very predictable and would for example never be bluffing. An observant other player at the table would pick up on that and adjust his or her game accordingly.
Reasons for not sticking to the odds table above could be, amongst others, the following:
1. You suspect the other playing to be bluffing.
2. Yourself are making one of your sparse bluffs, and hope to get away with it.
3. You are making cheap bluff now, to make profit in future hands.
4. Implied odds.
5. You feel lucky or you "have to" make a move.
I want to continue with implied odds. What sometimes happen to me, when I make a "lucky" hand, is that other players online start calling me fish or start calculating the odds for me and show what a stupid move it was. However, they usually do not consider the implied odds.
Implied odds have to do with the following points:
1. Odds to improve your hand
2. The stacksize of your opponent(s)
3. How hidden your hand is and thus the expectancy of winning big pots.
An example. $1 / $2 cashgame and you are in the BB with 25s. Three limpers. Flop comes T49 rainbow. The pot now is $8. Everybody checks. Turn is an A, with a rainbow board. SB and yourself check. A third player bet ¾ pot: $6 and one player calls and the other player folds. Considering table image, position, community cards and betsize a bluff is unlikely. So you would have no help hitting a 2 or a 5. Only way out is to hit your straight, leaving you with 4 outs (by hitting a three) and one card to come. You have to call a $6 bet on a $20 pot (1:3,33). Your odds for improving to the straight on the turn are 4:46, so roughly 1:11½ for the card to hit. Obviously you should not call. Or should you?
Assume you loose the hand: You loose $8, 10½ out of 11½ times. So if you call each time this situation occurs you will loose 1 win has to make up for 10,5*8= $84.
Assume that the other player's stacks are roughly 20 blinds and you have them covererd. If you hit your straight, which happens 1 in 11½ times, you think that it's a 60 percent chance one of them calls your all-in, and 20 percent both call your all-in. Obviously you should not call. Your expectation is too low. The one time you will win the hand, you will win ($40-$8)*60% + 20%*($80-2*$8). + $20 = $52,-. So your expected win is much less than your expected loss.
Now consider them having much bigger stacks. Say 100 blinds and you have them covered. However, because they have big stacks they are less willing to call your all-in. You still have to cover $84. You think there is a 40% chance one of them will call your all-in and only 5% both will call your all-in. This makes for ($200-$8)*40% + 5%*($400-2*$8). + $20 = $117,60.
It has to do with the 3 points mentioned above. Very important is how well hidden your hand is. Usually this involves a straight with one or two gap hole cards. When you are on a flush draw, people are usually much less inclined to call an all-in, because it is so obvious. Also look at the stacksize of your opponent, the bigger the stack, the higher the implied odds.
Tuesday, January 2, 2007
Looking back and some goals for this year
I started playing poker in April of 2006. Basically I deposited $50 at Partypoker, very much a small fish swimming around. My bankroll grew to $400 and was gone within the blink of an eye. No game plan, no strategy, vague idea of the game itself. I played sit and go’s, played tournaments that were to big for my bankroll. Did okay on cash games, which I used to compensate for my tournament losses.
I redeposited a few times and cashed out $500 once. I switched to other sites and played on Everest Poker a lot. Again I played tournaments and sit and go’s with a to high entrance fee. Higher than my bankroll could manage. Amazingly I lasted for about two months before going broke again. I felt I was picking up the game though. I started playing live games as well, which developed my game.
Furthermore I read more about poker and viewed some videos from which I learned a lot. As a final attempt I deposited $150 on Partypoker. Won about $400 and cashed out to Neteller after the American anti online-gambling legislation kicked in. Deposited money on Titan Poker, Pokerstars and on Pacific Poker.
I started on Titan Poker with a game plan, proper bankroll management, weekly goals and almost exclusively played cash games. The results are okay, although my game still requires a lot of improvement. I started playing 50 NL on 8 max tables. I started off with $200 on this site on 20 November 2006, with clear goals of making it $1,400 by the end of December and increasing my VIP level from the lowest, level 1, to the highest, level 5. I am happy to inform you, that I succeeded in accomplishing both these goals.
Some stats from 20 November until the end of the year 2006:
25/50 NL:
# of hands: 24,577
Won: ~$1,000,-
BB/100 hands: 3,98
Most profitable hand: AA & KK
I also attempted some 100 NL:
# of hands: 633
Won: ~$220,-
BB/100 hands: 17,43
Most profitable hand: 33
Total bankroll on 31 December: ~$1,700

Looking forward
In 2006 I am attempting to continue my poker game, developing my skills and letting my bankroll grow. Some goals:
Cash games:
# of hands in 2007: ~350,000
Bankroll at 31/12/07: $25,000,-
Level cash games: 200/400 NL
BB/100: 4 - 4,50
Other goals:
- Qualifying for a major live tournament
- Playing more live games in casino’s
- Continuing being involved in the poker community
- At least a weekly upgrade of my blog.
I redeposited a few times and cashed out $500 once. I switched to other sites and played on Everest Poker a lot. Again I played tournaments and sit and go’s with a to high entrance fee. Higher than my bankroll could manage. Amazingly I lasted for about two months before going broke again. I felt I was picking up the game though. I started playing live games as well, which developed my game.
Furthermore I read more about poker and viewed some videos from which I learned a lot. As a final attempt I deposited $150 on Partypoker. Won about $400 and cashed out to Neteller after the American anti online-gambling legislation kicked in. Deposited money on Titan Poker, Pokerstars and on Pacific Poker.
I started on Titan Poker with a game plan, proper bankroll management, weekly goals and almost exclusively played cash games. The results are okay, although my game still requires a lot of improvement. I started playing 50 NL on 8 max tables. I started off with $200 on this site on 20 November 2006, with clear goals of making it $1,400 by the end of December and increasing my VIP level from the lowest, level 1, to the highest, level 5. I am happy to inform you, that I succeeded in accomplishing both these goals.
Some stats from 20 November until the end of the year 2006:
25/50 NL:
# of hands: 24,577
Won: ~$1,000,-
BB/100 hands: 3,98
Most profitable hand: AA & KK
I also attempted some 100 NL:
# of hands: 633
Won: ~$220,-
BB/100 hands: 17,43
Most profitable hand: 33
Total bankroll on 31 December: ~$1,700
Looking forward
In 2006 I am attempting to continue my poker game, developing my skills and letting my bankroll grow. Some goals:
Cash games:
# of hands in 2007: ~350,000
Bankroll at 31/12/07: $25,000,-
Level cash games: 200/400 NL
BB/100: 4 - 4,50
Other goals:
- Qualifying for a major live tournament
- Playing more live games in casino’s
- Continuing being involved in the poker community
- At least a weekly upgrade of my blog.
Happy New Year
Back from Berlin and starting the new year. Berlin was great, though very cold. I liked it a lot and spend some quality time with my girl friend. First this post about the past couple of days and some nice hands. Pokeroffice is running, so some stats in the next hand as well.
In Berlin, during my short break away from working and poker life, I caught up on the necessary poker reading with the book “No Limit Hold’em, Theory and Practice” by Sklansky and Miller. I found the book intriguing and definitely worth the money spend. It offers a great approach to the game which I successfully applied. Read it!
Some good hands I played against larger stacks. Big hands tend to pay off big when you let the pot build big and the villains have big stacks as well. Starting with a royal flush!
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-28 07:12:35 Server
Seat 1: SZERCHA ( $5.75 )
Seat 2: KJELLE ( $41.43 )
Seat 4: bachir25 ( $14.70 )
Seat 5: EdmeC ( $65.50 )
Seat 6: angel20 ( $58.14 )
Seat 7: taann ( $26.05 )
Seat 9: Rima0to ( $4.90 )
Seat 10: Riddler2323 ( $26.05 )
SZERCHA posts Small Blind $0.25
KJELLE posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards Th Ah [EdmeC]
bachir25 folds
EdmeC calls $0.50
angel20 folds
taann folds
Rima0to folds
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
SZERCHA raises $0.75
KJELLE calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
Dealing Flop Kh Qh Kc
SZERCHA bets $0.50
KJELLE calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
Dealing Turn Kh Qh Kc Jh
SZERCHA bets $0.50
KJELLE raises $1
EdmeC calls $1 >> Perhaps should have min raised here.
Riddler2323 calls $1
SZERCHA calls $0.50
Dealing River Kh Qh Kc Jh 5s
SZERCHA checks
KJELLE bets $4
EdmeC raises $12
Riddler2323 folds
SZERCHA folds
KJELLE raises $16
EdmeC raises $51
KJELLE goes All-in $18.93
KJELLE shows Jd Kd
Winner is EdmeC $108.93
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-22 16:08:04 Server
Seat 1: RAZZMTAZZ ( $29.51 )
Seat 2: EisAmStiel ( $65.03 )
Seat 4: lenni ( $65.62 )
Seat 5: cendric ( $11 )
Seat 6: nikou13 ( $71.07 )
Seat 7: doshee ( $21.65 )
Seat 9: Nomzad ( $14.35 )
Seat 10: EdmeC ( $67.45 )
EisAmStiel posts Small Blind $0.25
lenni posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards 3s 3d [EdmeC]
cendric folds
nikou13 folds
doshee calls $0.50
Nomzad folds
EdmeC calls $0.50 >> Normal limp with pocket 3’s
RAZZMTAZZ calls $0.50
EisAmStiel calls $0.25
lenni raises $0.50 >> Minraise from the BB; could be anything
doshee calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
RAZZMTAZZ calls $0.50
EisAmStiel calls $0.50
Dealing Flop 5h 2d 4d >> Open ended straight draw
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $1 >> $1 in $5 pot. Giving my the right odds too call.
doshee folds
EdmeC calls $1
RAZZMTAZZ folds
EisAmStiel calls $1
Dealing Turn 5h 2d 4d 5d >> Open ended straight flush draw
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $2 >> Slowplaying flush, but still small bet. 1:4.
EdmeC calls $2
EisAmStiel calls $2
Dealing River 5h 2d 4d 5d 6d >> Completing my straight flush. Nuts is with 78d
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $5 >> Strange bet, maybe and Ace.
EdmeC raises $15 >> Obvious raise, but might be a bit small.
EisAmStiel calls $15 >> Strange call, likely the ace, not the nuts. He would’ve raised.
lenni goes All-in $56.62 >> Even stranger 78d? With this board.
EdmeC calls $46.62 >> Obvious call.
EisAmStiel folds >> He had the Ace.
lenni shows 6c 6h >> He had the highest full house.
Winner is EdmeC $149.24
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-31 10:42:54 Server
Seat 1: Bulgakov ( $13.15 )
Seat 2: Henrijoe ( $40.27 )
Seat 4: EdmeC ( $66.80 )
Seat 5: Thesaint00 ( $50 )
Seat 6: xxluksxx ( $22.72 )
Seat 9: Chelseaemma90 ( $28.55 )
Seat 10: Jensie ( $49.50 )
EdmeC posts Small Blind $0.25
Thesaint00 posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards Jh Qc [EdmeC]
xxluksxx folds
Chelseaemma90 calls $0.50
Jensie calls $0.50
Bulgakov folds
Henrijoe folds
EdmeC calls $0.25 >> Obvious limp with JQo
Thesaint00 checks
Dealing Flop 9h 8d Tc >> Fabulous board, giving me the nuts on this rainbow board.
EdmeC checks >> No reason to raise, someone will bet.
Thesaint00 checks
Chelseaemma90 checks
Jensie bets $2
EdmeC calls $2 >> Flatcall.
Thesaint00 calls $2
Chelseaemma90 calls $2
Dealing Turn 9h 8d Tc 7d >> Dream turn, giving the straight with either J or 6.
EdmeC bets $7 >> ¾ pot bet.
Thesaint00 folds
Chelseaemma90 calls $7
Jensie calls $7
Dealing River 9h 8d Tc 7d 6c >> Dream river, giving the straight on the board.
EdmeC bets $57.30 >> Why bet small, if you will likely get called. Figured 70 percent at least 1 would call.
Chelseaemma90 folds
Jensie goes All-in $40 >> Thank you.
Jensie shows Jc Td >> As expected.
Winner is EdmeC $125.30
In Berlin, during my short break away from working and poker life, I caught up on the necessary poker reading with the book “No Limit Hold’em, Theory and Practice” by Sklansky and Miller. I found the book intriguing and definitely worth the money spend. It offers a great approach to the game which I successfully applied. Read it!
Some good hands I played against larger stacks. Big hands tend to pay off big when you let the pot build big and the villains have big stacks as well. Starting with a royal flush!
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-28 07:12:35 Server
Seat 1: SZERCHA ( $5.75 )
Seat 2: KJELLE ( $41.43 )
Seat 4: bachir25 ( $14.70 )
Seat 5: EdmeC ( $65.50 )
Seat 6: angel20 ( $58.14 )
Seat 7: taann ( $26.05 )
Seat 9: Rima0to ( $4.90 )
Seat 10: Riddler2323 ( $26.05 )
SZERCHA posts Small Blind $0.25
KJELLE posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards Th Ah [EdmeC]
bachir25 folds
EdmeC calls $0.50
angel20 folds
taann folds
Rima0to folds
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
SZERCHA raises $0.75
KJELLE calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
Dealing Flop Kh Qh Kc
SZERCHA bets $0.50
KJELLE calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
Riddler2323 calls $0.50
Dealing Turn Kh Qh Kc Jh
SZERCHA bets $0.50
KJELLE raises $1
EdmeC calls $1 >> Perhaps should have min raised here.
Riddler2323 calls $1
SZERCHA calls $0.50
Dealing River Kh Qh Kc Jh 5s
SZERCHA checks
KJELLE bets $4
EdmeC raises $12
Riddler2323 folds
SZERCHA folds
KJELLE raises $16
EdmeC raises $51
KJELLE goes All-in $18.93
KJELLE shows Jd Kd
Winner is EdmeC $108.93
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-22 16:08:04 Server
Seat 1: RAZZMTAZZ ( $29.51 )
Seat 2: EisAmStiel ( $65.03 )
Seat 4: lenni ( $65.62 )
Seat 5: cendric ( $11 )
Seat 6: nikou13 ( $71.07 )
Seat 7: doshee ( $21.65 )
Seat 9: Nomzad ( $14.35 )
Seat 10: EdmeC ( $67.45 )
EisAmStiel posts Small Blind $0.25
lenni posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards 3s 3d [EdmeC]
cendric folds
nikou13 folds
doshee calls $0.50
Nomzad folds
EdmeC calls $0.50 >> Normal limp with pocket 3’s
RAZZMTAZZ calls $0.50
EisAmStiel calls $0.25
lenni raises $0.50 >> Minraise from the BB; could be anything
doshee calls $0.50
EdmeC calls $0.50
RAZZMTAZZ calls $0.50
EisAmStiel calls $0.50
Dealing Flop 5h 2d 4d >> Open ended straight draw
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $1 >> $1 in $5 pot. Giving my the right odds too call.
doshee folds
EdmeC calls $1
RAZZMTAZZ folds
EisAmStiel calls $1
Dealing Turn 5h 2d 4d 5d >> Open ended straight flush draw
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $2 >> Slowplaying flush, but still small bet. 1:4.
EdmeC calls $2
EisAmStiel calls $2
Dealing River 5h 2d 4d 5d 6d >> Completing my straight flush. Nuts is with 78d
EisAmStiel checks
lenni bets $5 >> Strange bet, maybe and Ace.
EdmeC raises $15 >> Obvious raise, but might be a bit small.
EisAmStiel calls $15 >> Strange call, likely the ace, not the nuts. He would’ve raised.
lenni goes All-in $56.62 >> Even stranger 78d? With this board.
EdmeC calls $46.62 >> Obvious call.
EisAmStiel folds >> He had the Ace.
lenni shows 6c 6h >> He had the highest full house.
Winner is EdmeC $149.24
Texas Holdem NL $0.25/$0.50 - 2006-12-31 10:42:54 Server
Seat 1: Bulgakov ( $13.15 )
Seat 2: Henrijoe ( $40.27 )
Seat 4: EdmeC ( $66.80 )
Seat 5: Thesaint00 ( $50 )
Seat 6: xxluksxx ( $22.72 )
Seat 9: Chelseaemma90 ( $28.55 )
Seat 10: Jensie ( $49.50 )
EdmeC posts Small Blind $0.25
Thesaint00 posts Big Blind $0.50
Dealing cards
Your cards Jh Qc [EdmeC]
xxluksxx folds
Chelseaemma90 calls $0.50
Jensie calls $0.50
Bulgakov folds
Henrijoe folds
EdmeC calls $0.25 >> Obvious limp with JQo
Thesaint00 checks
Dealing Flop 9h 8d Tc >> Fabulous board, giving me the nuts on this rainbow board.
EdmeC checks >> No reason to raise, someone will bet.
Thesaint00 checks
Chelseaemma90 checks
Jensie bets $2
EdmeC calls $2 >> Flatcall.
Thesaint00 calls $2
Chelseaemma90 calls $2
Dealing Turn 9h 8d Tc 7d >> Dream turn, giving the straight with either J or 6.
EdmeC bets $7 >> ¾ pot bet.
Thesaint00 folds
Chelseaemma90 calls $7
Jensie calls $7
Dealing River 9h 8d Tc 7d 6c >> Dream river, giving the straight on the board.
EdmeC bets $57.30 >> Why bet small, if you will likely get called. Figured 70 percent at least 1 would call.
Chelseaemma90 folds
Jensie goes All-in $40 >> Thank you.
Jensie shows Jc Td >> As expected.
Winner is EdmeC $125.30
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